Мартин Армстронг

где деньги, Зин?
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Mikhael
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Мировой финансовый кризис приближается.
The distortion in the yield curve is building with tremendous force. There are vast bids for US 90-day T-Bills from around the world and no offers. The shortage in US government paper is now being reported to us from repo desks around the world. There is a MAJOR PANIC in to the dollar as emerging markets come under a financial crisis, in part, instigated by Turkey. The government simply trapped investors and refuses to allow transactions out of the Turkish lira. Turkey’s stand-off with investors has unnerved traders globally, pushing the world ever closer to a major FINANCIAL PANIC come this May 2019.

There is a major liquidity crisis brewing that could pop in May 2019. European Banks have loaded their portfolios with real estate loans thanks to quantitative easing and negative interest rates, and emerging market debt. Spanish banks are especially invested in Turkish debt where they hoped to get the highest yields expecting that the IMF would never let Turkey default. On top of this, banks have been lending to each other to also avoid parking money at the European Central Bank where they would be charged with a negative interest rate.


Currencies from South Africa’s rand to Brazil’s real are witnessing a spike in their expected volatility, signaling concern they may weaken the most along with the Turkish lira going into May. The price swings have evoked sudden deep-rooted fears that there may be an emerging market crash before the end of the year.

We will update on the private blog in more detail. However, keep in mind that this Inverted Yield Curve is by no means reflecting a US recession. This is a global financial panic unfolding on a grand scale. This is why we selected May for the WEC in Rome. This is far more than just politics. This is beginning to evolve into a serious liquidity crisis where we may yet see more countries try capital controls to save the day.
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The yield curve has been inverted for the last month. An inverted yield curve occurs when long-term government debt yields fall below rates on short-term notes and bills. For stock market investors, an inverted yield curve is typically a sign that equities could peak before an economic recession will follow. It also can be a precursor to a bear market in stocks, where equities fall 20% or more from highs which is the typical forecast. Some have pointed to the escalating China trade war. Investors, the claim, are worried that the China trade war and U.S. tariffs will slow global economic growth.

The 10-year Treasury note yield fell to 2.24% in early trading on May 29. Yields on three-month Treasury bills rose to 2.35%, well above the 10-year rate. The 10-year Treasury note fell below 2% on June 25 following the release of weaker-than-expected consumer confidence data. The three-month note traded at 2.13.%. Ten-year rates stood at 2.69% at the start of 2019. On June 4, 10-year Treasury notes slipped to 2.1 in midday trading, its lowest level in 20 months.

But much the real trend driving the inverted yield curve is capital inflows seeking long-term yields. Much of the capital has moved in from Europe. In addition, the amount of money in fixed-income exchange-traded funds passed $1 trillion last month, an ascendance that has reshaped the market in which countries and companies raise money to pay their bills. This has also altered the yield-curve. These forces have changed the dynamics of the marketplace and the traditional inverted yield curve does not necessarily mean what it once did and more than central banks use to be in control of the economy or money supply.
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What is really driving the Democrats crazy is that they still refuse to comprehend why Trump was elected to begin with. He was an anti-career politician. Even the Republicans did not get it. This impeachment nonsense would stick ONLY if the people actually believed that Biden and Hillary were honest and Trump was wrong. But Biden’s son getting hired in Ukraine when Ukraine was seeking aid from the USA just does not look ethical regardless of the situation. Hillary’s emails and her brother getting a contract for a gold mine when he had nothing to do with mining just does not seem honest.

The general polls are showing that this latest scandal is just another trumped-up version of Russiagate against Trump. At the end of the day, they will need 2/3 of the Senate to remove Trump, which they will never get.

They have turned politics into a corrupt sewer and the stench is overwhelming the nation. There is just no return to a normal government that at least functions. From here into 2032, it will only get worse.

My concern is still what comes AFTER Trump! Our computer projected Trump as the winner long before the candidate was even selected. Our computer projected at the start of this 51.6-year wave (1985.65) that by 2016 the door would open for a possible third party candidate. That meant 2107.05 which was Wednesday, January 18, 2017. Trump was inaugurated on Saturday, January 21, 2017, 12:00 AM GMT+7. So we were close — off by 2.5 days for a forecast made 31.4 years prior ((1985.65 + 31.4) = 2017.05).

Even AOC overthrew a career Democrat they expected to be speaker of the House. She won for the very same reason as Trump — she was the anti-career politician. Those in Washington just do not comprehend that the people are fed up with all their lies and nonsense. This is BY NO MEANS a Republican v Democrat confrontation. We have moved beyond political parties but they do not wish to see it that way for it means having to accept responsibility for all their mismanagement.

You need not even be pro-Trump to see the incompetence in Washington. Instead of solving problems, the Democrats simply oppose whatever Trump does and seek to remove him. They are idiots for even if they regained the White House, the Republicans will do the same to them. Functioning government has ceased to exist. This is exactly what the computer projects into 2032.

From here on out into 2032, the government will get very aggressive because it knows it is losing control. I am very concerned for the government will attempt to seize control and tighten its grip.

Even if we look at the Pi Turning Point on the previous wave that began 1934.05 with Roosevelt confiscating gold, 31.4 years later was 1965.45, and again on Wednesday that week is when Vietnam started to become a warzone. U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara announced in Washington that 22,000 additional American troops were being sent to South Vietnam. The additional deployment would raise the number of U.S. soldiers and officers in South Vietnam to 72,000. That would eventually grow to 9,087,000 military personnel who served on active duty during the Vietnam Era with the peak in troop strength reached 543,482 (April 30, 1968). A total of 58,202 were killed in action with 303,704 wounded.

The Pi target 1913.85 was November 26, 1913. The previous wave that began 1882.45 fell in the middle of the two major acts: the Income Tax passed on October 3, 1913, and the Federal Reserve Act passed on December 23, 1913.

These Pi targets have been rather important political-economic events. Even in Mexico, 1913 was the Mexican Revolution.
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I know that the big Democratic donors are yelling they will not fund Warren. Hillary has been cagy, but the coup against Trump is in full motion. The FBI just came out of the blue to say they exonerate Hillary. You have to read the fine print. What they are saying is NOT that she is innocent, but she did not KNOWINGLY violate the law. You would be prosecuted for such an act for the presumption is you know what the law is. In Hillary’s case, the FBI has turned the law upside down. They are doing that to clear the way for her to run in 2020.

That said, Biden is a joke. She has intentionally attacked Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard indirectly saying she is “cozy” with Russia in the past. She is already bringing up the Russians again. It certainly appears she is just waiting for the herd of candidates to beat each other to a pulp and then step in. The big-money donors will fill the coffers for Hillary – not Warren. Nobody seems to believe that Joe Biden has a shot at beating Trump. So the game is in play.

The elections are scheduled to take place from February to June 2020 in all fifty U.S. states, the District of Columbia, five U.S. territories, and Democrats Abroad. So Hillary will jump in perhaps on the ECM turning point in January 2020.

Hillary is supported by the intelligence community for she will take the country into war. Trump is anti-War. He has explained the hardest part of the job is writing letters and meeting families whose children or husbands have died in some military action. Over 40% of Americans believe that the US is sticking its nose in too many affairs overseas which in turn results in terrorist attacks against Americans. The intelligence community is trying to overthrow Trump at all costs. They know Hillary will declare war on Russia which is what they desperately want for Xmas.

I do not BELIEVE that even Hillary would defeat Trump in a fair election. But just as the 2016 election was our target for the first potential third-party candidate, 2020 is the target for the start of civil violence. We will run our analysis on the 2020 election. Just as a warning – it appears to be the most violent since the 1960s, and it appears to be the most likely to be rigged. That warns that is Trump were to lose, it would not be a fair election.
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5
Blog/Gov't Incompetence
Posted Mar 21, 2020 by Martin Armstrong


I had a very interesting conversation about what appears to be a grab for power with someone high up. I was told: Read tour own book! I concluded in the Manipulating the World Economy that the central banks lost all power and the solution would require political action and reform. The very issues I made clear would need to change have just changed – Germany surrenders austerity. However, I was pessimistic that such reform would be possible because of the political polarization. The answer appears to be creating a James Bond plot to save the world.

There are numerous political people who sold their stocks on insider information in the USA and Europe. I have detailed information about very high-level elites in Europe who were tipped off as well it appears for they also sold on the ECM turning point and it was not because they followed the ECM. It is curious that the sales took place at the ECM +- 2 days. They were not our clients. This does make me wonder if someone else used the ECM to target when to bring this operation into play.



We still have people justifying these powers arguing the virus will take off exponentially as if we will all die. It is this very type of scare-mongering which is providing the cover for the greatest political power grab in human history. This comes directly from the political playbook that has been around for thousands of years. The flight to quality is simply cash. Even the bonds had fallen as well as gold. This is the most drastic flight to quality ever. Normally, sell stocks run to bonds. This time they are liquidating everything.
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