Мартин Армстронг

где деньги, Зин?

Сообщение Mikhael » 29 мар 2019, 17:50

Мировой финансовый кризис приближается.
The distortion in the yield curve is building with tremendous force. There are vast bids for US 90-day T-Bills from around the world and no offers. The shortage in US government paper is now being reported to us from repo desks around the world. There is a MAJOR PANIC in to the dollar as emerging markets come under a financial crisis, in part, instigated by Turkey. The government simply trapped investors and refuses to allow transactions out of the Turkish lira. Turkey’s stand-off with investors has unnerved traders globally, pushing the world ever closer to a major FINANCIAL PANIC come this May 2019.

There is a major liquidity crisis brewing that could pop in May 2019. European Banks have loaded their portfolios with real estate loans thanks to quantitative easing and negative interest rates, and emerging market debt. Spanish banks are especially invested in Turkish debt where they hoped to get the highest yields expecting that the IMF would never let Turkey default. On top of this, banks have been lending to each other to also avoid parking money at the European Central Bank where they would be charged with a negative interest rate.


Currencies from South Africa’s rand to Brazil’s real are witnessing a spike in their expected volatility, signaling concern they may weaken the most along with the Turkish lira going into May. The price swings have evoked sudden deep-rooted fears that there may be an emerging market crash before the end of the year.

We will update on the private blog in more detail. However, keep in mind that this Inverted Yield Curve is by no means reflecting a US recession. This is a global financial panic unfolding on a grand scale. This is why we selected May for the WEC in Rome. This is far more than just politics. This is beginning to evolve into a serious liquidity crisis where we may yet see more countries try capital controls to save the day.
Аватара пользователя
Mikhael
Site Admin
 
Сообщения: 5928
Зарегистрирован: 27 апр 2016, 19:02
ozon.ru




Сообщение Mikhael » 28 июн 2019, 21:48

phpBB [video]
Аватара пользователя
Mikhael
Site Admin
 
Сообщения: 5928
Зарегистрирован: 27 апр 2016, 19:02

Сообщение Mikhael » 06 июл 2019, 08:09

The yield curve has been inverted for the last month. An inverted yield curve occurs when long-term government debt yields fall below rates on short-term notes and bills. For stock market investors, an inverted yield curve is typically a sign that equities could peak before an economic recession will follow. It also can be a precursor to a bear market in stocks, where equities fall 20% or more from highs which is the typical forecast. Some have pointed to the escalating China trade war. Investors, the claim, are worried that the China trade war and U.S. tariffs will slow global economic growth.

The 10-year Treasury note yield fell to 2.24% in early trading on May 29. Yields on three-month Treasury bills rose to 2.35%, well above the 10-year rate. The 10-year Treasury note fell below 2% on June 25 following the release of weaker-than-expected consumer confidence data. The three-month note traded at 2.13.%. Ten-year rates stood at 2.69% at the start of 2019. On June 4, 10-year Treasury notes slipped to 2.1 in midday trading, its lowest level in 20 months.

But much the real trend driving the inverted yield curve is capital inflows seeking long-term yields. Much of the capital has moved in from Europe. In addition, the amount of money in fixed-income exchange-traded funds passed $1 trillion last month, an ascendance that has reshaped the market in which countries and companies raise money to pay their bills. This has also altered the yield-curve. These forces have changed the dynamics of the marketplace and the traditional inverted yield curve does not necessarily mean what it once did and more than central banks use to be in control of the economy or money supply.
Аватара пользователя
Mikhael
Site Admin
 
Сообщения: 5928
Зарегистрирован: 27 апр 2016, 19:02

Сообщение Mikhael » 08 окт 2019, 14:58

What is really driving the Democrats crazy is that they still refuse to comprehend why Trump was elected to begin with. He was an anti-career politician. Even the Republicans did not get it. This impeachment nonsense would stick ONLY if the people actually believed that Biden and Hillary were honest and Trump was wrong. But Biden’s son getting hired in Ukraine when Ukraine was seeking aid from the USA just does not look ethical regardless of the situation. Hillary’s emails and her brother getting a contract for a gold mine when he had nothing to do with mining just does not seem honest.

The general polls are showing that this latest scandal is just another trumped-up version of Russiagate against Trump. At the end of the day, they will need 2/3 of the Senate to remove Trump, which they will never get.

They have turned politics into a corrupt sewer and the stench is overwhelming the nation. There is just no return to a normal government that at least functions. From here into 2032, it will only get worse.

My concern is still what comes AFTER Trump! Our computer projected Trump as the winner long before the candidate was even selected. Our computer projected at the start of this 51.6-year wave (1985.65) that by 2016 the door would open for a possible third party candidate. That meant 2107.05 which was Wednesday, January 18, 2017. Trump was inaugurated on Saturday, January 21, 2017, 12:00 AM GMT+7. So we were close — off by 2.5 days for a forecast made 31.4 years prior ((1985.65 + 31.4) = 2017.05).

Even AOC overthrew a career Democrat they expected to be speaker of the House. She won for the very same reason as Trump — she was the anti-career politician. Those in Washington just do not comprehend that the people are fed up with all their lies and nonsense. This is BY NO MEANS a Republican v Democrat confrontation. We have moved beyond political parties but they do not wish to see it that way for it means having to accept responsibility for all their mismanagement.

You need not even be pro-Trump to see the incompetence in Washington. Instead of solving problems, the Democrats simply oppose whatever Trump does and seek to remove him. They are idiots for even if they regained the White House, the Republicans will do the same to them. Functioning government has ceased to exist. This is exactly what the computer projects into 2032.

From here on out into 2032, the government will get very aggressive because it knows it is losing control. I am very concerned for the government will attempt to seize control and tighten its grip.

Even if we look at the Pi Turning Point on the previous wave that began 1934.05 with Roosevelt confiscating gold, 31.4 years later was 1965.45, and again on Wednesday that week is when Vietnam started to become a warzone. U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara announced in Washington that 22,000 additional American troops were being sent to South Vietnam. The additional deployment would raise the number of U.S. soldiers and officers in South Vietnam to 72,000. That would eventually grow to 9,087,000 military personnel who served on active duty during the Vietnam Era with the peak in troop strength reached 543,482 (April 30, 1968). A total of 58,202 were killed in action with 303,704 wounded.

The Pi target 1913.85 was November 26, 1913. The previous wave that began 1882.45 fell in the middle of the two major acts: the Income Tax passed on October 3, 1913, and the Federal Reserve Act passed on December 23, 1913.

These Pi targets have been rather important political-economic events. Even in Mexico, 1913 was the Mexican Revolution.
Аватара пользователя
Mikhael
Site Admin
 
Сообщения: 5928
Зарегистрирован: 27 апр 2016, 19:02

Пред.

Вернуться в Финансы и экономика

Кто сейчас на конференции

Сейчас этот форум просматривают: нет зарегистрированных пользователей и гости: 1

cron
Рейтинг@Mail.ru Все сообщения, как ни странно, отражают мнения их авторов, администрация не несёт за них ответственность.  © 2016-2019 Все права защищены, www.israelru.botvinik.net
При использовании материалов с сайта индексируемая ссылка на источник обязательна, при её наличии перепечатывайте на здоровье.